A widening regional war

March 2nd, 2026 Unsubscribe Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're monitoring today: Top News Whoops As Operation Epic Fury enters its third day, the polymarket on Iran's next Supreme Leader remains volatile. Trump has called on Iranians to overthrow the regime, but also told a reporter that the candidates he was considering, presumably Islamic Republic insiders, had been killed in the initial strikes. Read more → ​ Quick Links US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? → Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? → A Widening Regional War Iran has responded with drone and missile attacks on Israel, all six Gulf Arab states, Jordan, Iraq, nearby maritime targets, and U.S. assets in the region. In Lebanon, Hezbollah has begun firing missiles into Israel opening the northern front in support of Tehran. Read more → ​ Quick Links Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? → Which countries will strike Iran by March 31? → Boots on the Ground? While still not a base case, odds for this to turn into a U.S. ground invasion have doubled since the start of the conflict. Read more → ​ Breaking News Odds US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7? View market → 47% -1% Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28? View market → 99% +1% Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? View market → 94% +5% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Texas Democratic Senate Primary Winner 12h Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner 12h What will be the top US Netflix show this week? 12h See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? 15h ago Who will enter Iran by June 30? 15h ago Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? 16h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume US x Iran ceasefire by...? $3.43M Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? $3.19M Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? $2.46M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In NBA MVP 99d LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs 3h 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion 119d See all Top Sports → ​ Whale Moves "No" Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? $199.8K AML See Wallet → See all Whale Moves → ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 228 Park Ave S, PMB 750480 New York, NY 10003-1502 U.S.