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Markets Digest Software Selloff Amid Ongoing AI Spending A $2 Trillion Software Reset Meets Steady AI Demand February 10, 2026 |
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A divided market as investors rethink software stocks while AI spending holds firm.
Good Morning, A sharp pullback in software shares erased trillions in value even as AI spending and earnings stayed surprisingly firm. We break down what drove the selloff, why investors are still backing select tech names, and what this growing split says about where risk is building.
Trump's beef import surge aims to tame U.S. prices amid rancher pushback, China's property downturn worsens with a dire S&P forecast, and Stellantis absorbs a $26.5B blow as it retreats from overhyped EV targets.
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📈 Yesterday's Market RecapYesterday, the U.S. markets celebrated a historic moment as the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 50,000 for the first time at 50,115.67, up a robust 2.47%. Tech stocks, especially semiconductors like Nvidia and AMD, led the charge with gains over 7%, shrugging off mid-week jitters. Positive inflation expectations and Big Tech's AI spending fueled optimism, though not without some cracks—Amazon slipped 7% on heavy capex costs. Here's what moved the needle.
- Dow Hits 50,000 Milestone: The Dow surged 1,206.95 points to close at a record 50,115.67, marking a psychological win for bulls. → Fox Business
- Tech Rebounds with Chip Strength: Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom each jumped over 7%, lifting Nasdaq by 2.18% to offset earlier sector weakness. → MarketWatch
- Amazon Drags on AI Spend: Amazon fell nearly 7% as investors balked at a 50%+ increase in capital spending for AI data centers. → CNBC
- Inflation Sentiment Boosts Rally: University of Michigan data showed 1-year inflation expectations at multi-year lows, easing rate hike fears. → ABC News
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📉 Daily Performance Snapshot| Index/Asset | Closing Value | Change |
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| S&P 500 | 693.95 | +3.51 (+0.51%) | | Nasdaq | 614.32 | +4.93 (+0.81%) | | Dow Jones | 501.22 | +0.18 (+0.04%) | | Gold | 5,049.20 | -27.60 (-0.54%) | | Crude Oil | 62.89 | -0.66 (-1.04%) | | Bitcoin | 68,443.00 | -505.00 (-0.73%) | | 10-yr Treasury Yield | 4.23% | +0.02 (+0.48%) |
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🔭 What to Watch TodayToday's calendar has a few critical events that could sway markets. From U.S. immigration policy scrutiny to key corporate moves, keep your eyes on these developments for potential ripples. House Immigration Hearing (10 AM ET): Top officials from ICE, CBP, and USCIS testify on Trump's deportation policies after recent fatal shootings, which could spark policy debates affecting border security stocks. → AP NewsU.S. Employment Data Preview: Investors await upcoming job market updates that could influence Federal Reserve rate decisions later this week, a key driver for market sentiment. → ABC News WireAstraZeneca Growth Outlook: After beating Q4 revenue estimates, AstraZeneca's guidance for 2026 and progress on its weight-loss drug could lift healthcare sector confidence. → Seeking Alpha |
💡 Opportunity WatchAmidst the noise of debt ceilings and political shifts, a few sectors and stocks are showing potential for savvy investors. Here are three opportunities tied to recent events worth a closer look. - AstraZeneca (AZN): With elecoglipron moving to Phase III trials and Q4 revenue beating estimates, AZN could be a play in the booming weight-loss drug market. → MarketWatch
- Tech Sector Correction (Nasdaq-100): Kalshi bettors predict a Nasdaq-100 drop to under 19,000 by year-end, suggesting a potential short opportunity as AI hype cools. → Benzinga
- Gold as Inflation Hedge: With U.S. debt soaring past $38.5 trillion, allocating 5-10% to gold ETFs like GLD could shield portfolios from inflationary erosion. → Money.com
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🔥 The Big BulletSoftware stocks slid hard, but AI momentum stayed in placeWhat happened: Big tech and software shares sold off, and one report said the drop erased about $2 trillion in value. In that $2 trillion software stock wipeout, prices fell even while many investors stayed focused on AI. At the same time, the feed notes that most S&P 500 companies have already reported fourth-quarter earnings. Those early results show profit per share is higher than a year ago, which helped keep broader market mood steady. Money is also still flowing into new AI tools, including Bretton AI's $75 million raise for compliance work. Put together, the headlines show a split market: some software names are being marked down, while AI stories keep getting funding. Investors seem to be sorting companies into "AI winners" and "everyone else" as earnings come in. That sorting can move stock prices fast, even when the overall economy data in the feed looks mostly steady.
Why it matters: A big drop in one corner of the market can still matter, even if the index does not fall much. When investors pull $2 trillion out of software stocks, it often means they are less willing to pay high prices for growth. That can spill into other areas like cloud services, cybersecurity, and even some AI-related stocks. Companies are also warning that AI brings new business and legal risks, like in Alphabet's updated risk filing. If firms say AI costs are rising or rules are changing, traders may cut their forecasts for future profits. Governments are moving too, including a directive to label AI content and deepfakes, which could raise compliance costs. For investors, this mix can lead to more day-to-day swings as headlines hit. It also pushes people to pay closer attention to cash flow and balance sheets, not just big promises. What's next: The next few weeks will bring more earnings calls, and the tone of company forecasts may set the market's direction. Watch whether managers keep talking about higher AI spending, or if they start cutting budgets to protect profits. Shareholder payouts are another signal, since BP's decision to halt stock buybacks shows how quickly plans can change when profits weaken. In health care, results like CVS Health's Q4 earnings can also move sentiment because the sector is a large part of the market. Keep an eye on whether the software selloff spreads to other "growth" areas or stays limited to a few names. Also track any follow-up guidance from major tech firms about AI risks, data use, and security. On the policy side, new labeling and content rules may get clearer, and companies may update their products to comply. If these pieces line up—steady profits, controlled spending, and clearer rules—stocks may calm down; if not, volatility may stay high. |
| | Reader Feedback | Last time, I asked you: Which best explains why software and AI stocks are falling now? | The majority of you at 57% said "AI hype ran ahead of real profits | Natalie from Kentucky replied: "I think these stocks are falling because people got too excited about AI before it started making real money." | Here's what I'm asking you today:Which best describes how you see this market move? | |
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| As always if your opinion is not here, or you want to throw your two cents at me, reply to the E-mail, and let me know your exact thoughts. |
🧭 Policy & Market Ripples- Trump's Beef Import Order: An executive order boosts Argentine beef imports by 80,000 metric tons to combat record-high U.S. prices, though cattlemen warn of disease risks. → Fox Business
- China Property Slump Deepens: S&P slashes China's 2026 real estate sales forecast to a 10-14% decline, signaling a 'vicious cycle' with inventory piling up for six years. → CNBC
- Stellantis $26.5B EV Pivot Charge: Stellantis takes a massive $26.5 billion hit as it dials back EV ambitions, citing overoptimistic demand forecasts—shares tanked 22%. → Fox Business
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📜 This Day in History – February 10 February 10 is a showcase of cultural scale, computational turning points, and institutional bets on the future. It's the type of day where creativity commercializes, machines outperform expectations, and new knowledge hubs get chartered. |
| Today's TriviaWhich of the following is most likely considered an asset? | |
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| 88% of you chose the right answer to our previous trivia question: What is one common reason people create a monthly budget? |
The goal isn't more money. The goal is living life on your terms. – Chris Brogan | Thanks for Reading.
Stay Sharp. Stay Focused. Fredrick Frost Editor, MorningBullets |
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