Thursday, 7 May 2026

Watching The Bell: (Nasdaq: SAFX) Triggers Our Radar's Response For 7 Key Reasons

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Watching The Bell: (Nasdaq: SAFX) Triggers Our Radar's Response For 7 Key Reasons


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May 6th

Greetings, Friend!


Catch what was cooking on Tuesday morning?


Our latest Nasdaq profile hit the ground running following breaking news.


Surging to a new May high of $4.465, the profile swung vertically from a low of $3.75 for an approx. 19% intraday move.


Now, Market Pulse Today is turning its focus to the global aviation as it undergoes a powerful, behind-the-scenes change that’s just starting to emerge.


Fuel prices have swung sharply… supply chains have tightened… and airlines are being pushed toward lower-emission alternatives as part of long-term industry commitments.


According to the International Air Transport Association (IATA), sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) is expected to play a central role in aviation’s path toward net-zero emissions as adoption continues to scale.


That shift is already underway.


And right in the middle of it, Market Pulse Today has its eyes on a U.S.-based company building production capacity, aligning with policy-driven incentives, and advancing a platform designed for this transition.


Jet fuel prices have surged above $3.80 per gallon, a climb of more than 30%, while Asia-Pacific markets watched prices spike from roughly $90 to $230 per barrel in just weeks, and Brent Crude has swung more than $50 per barrel over the past 12 months alone.


Global aviation supply chains are under pressure, and that’s where a domestic, waste-based sustainable aviation fuel company operating in the U.S. starts to look different from the rest of the energy landscape.


Here’s what caught Market Pulse Today’s attention:


XCF Global, Inc. (Nasdaq: SAFX) has released a rapid string of updates over the past several weeks, including a major business combination, new facility funding, certification progress, and policy-linked developments that could reshape how the company is viewed.


And following this week's important corporate update highlighting a 2027 target net revenue of $110 - 120Mn, our radar is buzzing.


But, those are just some of the reasons why SAFX is topping Market Pulse Today’s watchlist Wednesday, May 6th, 2026.


The big story here is SAFX's the operating platform, policy backdrop, and recent company developments now lining up behind it.


That’s why we want to slow down and walk through exactly what SAFX does, why its Reno facility matters, and why this one is on our radar right now.


What Does XCF Global Do?


XCF Global, Inc. (Nasdaq: SAFX) is an emerging sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) company dedicated to accelerating the aviation industry's transition to net-zero emissions.


The Company's flagship asset is the New Rise Renewables Reno facility in Nevada, a large-scale production site with a permitted nameplate capacity of 38Mn gallons per year, positioning SAFX as an early mover among large-scale SAF producers in North America.

New Rise Reno was commissioned in February 2025 and commenced commercial operations in March 2025.


Since then, the facility has produced more than 2.5Mn gallons of renewable fuels, including SAF, renewable diesel, and renewable naphtha.


The facility uses domestic non-food waste feedstocks, a supply chain structure that is largely insulated from global crude volatility in ways that conventional jet fuel cannot replicate.


The facility is currently completing planned upgrades and expects to return to full operations in June 2026.


Beyond Reno, SAFX is advancing a pipeline of potential expansion projects in Nevada, North Carolina, and Florida.

A Transformative Three-Party Business Combination


On April 14th, 2026, SAFX announced the execution of a definitive Business Combination Agreement with two energy-transition-focused companies — a deal designed to create a larger platform spanning sustainable aviation fuel, renewable fuels, environmental assets, and advanced energy infrastructure.


The combined platform is designed to integrate SAF production, green methanol, renewable products, methanol-to-jet pathways, environmental asset monetization, and advanced energy infrastructure, including small modular reactor (SMR) nuclear power.


The transaction structure calls for one party to domesticate from Alberta to Delaware, after which SAFX would acquire 100% of both merger counterparties as wholly owned subsidiaries.


Following closing, existing SAFX shareholders are expected to hold approximately 66.7% of the combined company, with the remaining ownership split between the other two merger counterparties.


The deal has been associated with an internal target of over $1Bn in annualized fuel revenues and at least $100Mn EBITDA, subject to all closing conditions and regulatory approvals.


To fund the planned plant conversion, SAFX received $10Mn on April 17, 2026, raised through the sale of 100Mn common shares to a special purpose vehicle.


This funding satisfies a key condition to the proposed business combination and is expected to support continued progress toward closing.


The 45Z Credit Layer — Potentially Industry-First Economics


One of the most exciting angles here is what happens when environmental asset infrastructure is layered on top of SAFX’s SAF production.


SAFX’s New Rise Reno facility qualifies as a registered clean fuel producer under Section 45Z, which provides potential eligibility of up to $.60 per gallon in transferable tax credits for qualifying SAF production through December 31, 2029.


Under Section 6418, those 45Z credits can be transferred to unrelated corporate buyers — companies seeking to reduce their U.S. tax liability.


The platform’s environmental asset infrastructure is expected to handle verification, recordkeeping, and buyer-matching for those credit transfers.


SAFX has described this potential structure as an "industry-first" model linking a domestic SAF producer directly with structured credit sales through a single, vertically integrated entity.


Record EPA Renewable Fuel Credit Levels Could Add Another Policy Tailwind


The EPA recently raised its renewable fuel credit targets to record levels, setting 25.82Bn credits for 2026 and 25.98Bn for 2027.


That matters because companies producing qualifying renewable fuels can generate credits tied to each gallon they produce, and those credits can add meaningful extra value on top of the fuel itself.


As of April 29th, 2026, SAFX estimates that D4 renewable fuel credits contribute approximately $3.06 per gallon of added value for each gallon of synthetic blending component used in SAF economics, though credit prices move with the market and can change daily.


7 Key Reasons Why (Nasdaq: SAFX) Tops Wednesday's Watchlist


#1. This Week's Q1 Company Update: SAFX reported leadership, partnerships, and Reno progress while targeting 2027 net revenue of $110 - 120Mn and 40-43Mn gallons of renewable fuel production.


#2. Under The Radar: Currently trending below $.50, SAFX appears to be flying under the radar compared with where it recently moved.


#3. Major Combination: A definitive three-party business combination could give SAFX a larger platform across SAF, renewable fuels, environmental assets, and advanced energy infrastructure.


#4. Reno Facility: The New Rise Renewables Reno facility gives SAFX a permitted nameplate capacity of 38Mn gallons per year.


#5. Produced Fuel: Since commercial operations began, SAFX’s Reno facility has produced more than 2.5Mn gallons of renewable fuels.


#6. Policy Credits: Section 45Z could provide SAFX potential eligibility of up to $0.60 per gallon in transferable tax credits through December 31, 2029.


#7. EPA Tailwind: Record EPA renewable fuel credit targets for 2026 and 2027 add another policy backdrop that could matter for SAFX.


(Nasdaq: SAFX) Is On Our Radar While It’s Still Early…

Taken together, this is a company where multiple elements are starting to line up at once.


There’s recent momentum that shows how quickly attention can shift, combined with a current range that suggests it may not yet be widely followed.


At the same time, there’s a real operating asset behind the story, a Reno-based facility already producing renewable fuels, with defined capacity and expansion plans in motion.


Layer on top of that a proposed combination that could broaden the platform, along with policy-driven credit structures and rising EPA benchmarks, and you start to see why this one is showing up on more screens.


This isn’t about any single headline, it’s about how all of these pieces connect, and how they’re developing in a relatively short window of time.


We have all eyes on XCF Global, Inc. (Nasdaq: SAFX) this Wednesday.


Keep your eyes peeled for updates coming your way soon. Talk shortly.


All the best,

Dane James

Editor Market Pulse Today


(Remember: St-ock Prices Could Be Significantly Lower Now From The Original Dates I Provided.)


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