Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. 🇺🇸 Looking for the U.S. app? 👉 Get $50 with your first deposit (code POLYG50). What's cooking today:
$35m Apache vs $20k drone
It was reportedly a cheap Iranian drone which brought down the U.S Apache, igniting the latest round of strikes on Iran. Polymarket traders are gradually losing confidence we'll get a permanent peace deal this year.
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Hot
May CPI data comes out today at 8:30 ET. Polymarket traders are expecting the first 4%+ print in over three years. Rising inflation has put rate hikes back on the table.
Anybody’s Cup
France and Spain still sit atop the World Cup odds. But traders keep pulling the favorites back toward the pack, making the title race look as wide open as ever.
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
How many senators will vote for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
Peru Presidential Election Runoff: JNE certifies results by…?
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Russia nuclear test by...?
Fed Decision in June?
Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026?
$1.92M
World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
$745.9K
Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?
$618.9K
"No" Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
JAHODA
"Yes" Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
bobe2.1
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