🌅 Today's Morning Call
S&P Futures
7,768.50
▼ -4.75 (-0.06%)
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Nasdaq Futures
30,637.00
▼ -13.00 (-0.04%)
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Dow Futures
51,886.00
▼ -86.00 (-0.17%)
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10Y Treasury
5.18%
▲ +0.02%
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US Dollar
101.13
▲ +0.01 (+0.01%)
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Bitcoin
$83,403
▼ -$1,059 (-1.25%)
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Data as of 8:08 AM ET
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Good morning! Happy Monday, and welcome to a fresh trading week. Futures are leaning slightly red as Treasury yields inch higher, but there's plenty brewing beneath the surface, from Nvidia's fresh buyback firepower to a US-China tariff thaw. Let's break down what matters today.
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👀 What to Watch Today The headline grabber is Nvidia (NVDA), which authorized an additional 150 billion dollars for share repurchases, pushing its remaining buyback authorization to 235 billion. That's a loud signal of confidence, and traders will watch how the stock digests it at the open.
On the macro front, the big story is a US-China agreement to cut tariffs on 30 billion dollars of goods from each side. Toys, sports equipment, and Christmas decorations top the US import list, so watch retail and consumer names for a lift.
Keep an eye on rates too. The 10-year Treasury sits at 5.18 percent and the 30-year at 5.50 percent, both ticking up. Higher yields tend to pressure growth and tech, so that tension could define the session.
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🌏 Overnight Recap Global markets took cues from the tariff detente, with trade-sensitive Asian exporters catching a bid on hopes the US-China deal signals more cooperation ahead. Sentiment was cautiously constructive even as the dollar held firm near 101.13 on the DXY.
In Europe, energy was in focus after TotalEnergies (TTE) outlined a growth plan through 2035, pledging annual investment of 14 to 17 billion dollars from 2027 to 2032. That long-range capital commitment gave the sector something to chew on.
Bitcoin slipped 1.25 percent to around 83,400 dollars overnight, a reminder that risk appetite in crypto remains choppy even as institutional plumbing keeps expanding.
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📊 Pre-Market Movers Kodiak Sciences (KOD) is the standout, jumping 64 percent after its Zenkuda candidate succeeded in a trial for wet age-related macular degeneration. The company now plans to seek regulatory approval, and biotech traders are piling in early.
Nvidia (NVDA) is in focus after adding 150 billion dollars to its buyback program, a move that often supports the share price and signals management sees value.
Coinbase (COIN) is worth watching after Citi tapped it to provide the digital infrastructure for corporate clients to make stablecoin payments. American Express (AXP) also drew attention, touting acceptance at more than 190 million merchant locations worldwide.
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🔍 Today's Watchlist
- Nvidia (NVDA): Reaction to the 150 billion dollar buyback boost and whether it can lift the broader chip complex.
- US-China tariff cuts: Watch retailers and consumer discretionary names tied to toys, sports gear, and holiday goods.
- Kodiak Sciences (KOD): Biotech momentum after a 64 percent surge on positive eye drug trial data.
- Treasury yields: 10-year at 5.18 percent and climbing. Rising rates could pressure high-multiple tech.
- Crypto infrastructure: Coinbase (COIN) and the Citi stablecoin partnership as a theme to track.
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🎯 The Morning Playbook With futures flat to slightly lower and yields creeping up, today feels like a stock-picker's session rather than a broad-market rocket. The tariff truce is a genuine positive for retail and consumer names, so that's where fresh catalysts live.
Biotech traders will be drawn to Kodiak's (KOD) blowout move, but chasing 64 percent gaps requires discipline and a plan. Meanwhile, Nvidia's (NVDA) buyback and Adobe's (ADBE) 6.7 percent holiday sales forecast keep tech and e-commerce in the conversation.
Stay nimble, respect the rising-yield backdrop, and let the headlines guide you rather than the other way around. Trade the setup you see, not the one you wish for.
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